Game 2 of a three-game set between the Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles begins this afternoon at Rogers Centre.
The pregame narrative: The Blue Jays will try to take advantage of Orioles starter Kyle Bradish, who they’ve already seen four times this season — dealing plenty of damage along the way.
Check out our Orioles vs. Blue Jays prop picks for September 17.
Odds as of 10:20 a.m. on 09/17/2022.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays prop picks
Best bet: Jose Berrios over 17.5 outs + Alejandro Kirk over 0.5 hits (+133)
On their own, neither of these props has quite enough value to justify its price — but together, they form a nice plus-money play.
Berrios has been rolling lately, with four quality starts in his past five games. He’s collected at least 17 outs in all of those games, clearing this prop four times.
We like his chances to clear the 17.5-out line again today, facing an Orioles team that has scuffled offensively in recent games. Over the past 10 days, here are Baltimore’s offensive ranks:
- 3.0 runs/game (29th)
- 77 wRC+ (27th)
- .204 BA (27th)
- 24.6% K-rate (21st)
As for Kirk, the all-star hasn’t played in a few days due to the crowded nature of a three-catcher rotation. But we reckon he’ll get a chance today against Bradish, who he’s gone 5-for-7 against this season.
Kirk has a .295 batting average, the best among the Blue Jays in 2022, counting on him for one hit gives Berrios’ outs prop (-162) a boost to its current price.
Key stat: Berrios has pitched six-plus innings in both previous outings against Baltimore this year.
Kirk over 1.5 bases (+150): In a reach for even greater value, consider backing Kirk to have a multi-base day against Baltimore. He’s cleared this line in six of his past 12 games, with four multi-hit performances mixed in.
Kirk’s 5 for 7 line against Bradish includes a double and an average exit velocity of 97 mph, per Baseball Savant.
Springer over 0.5 runs (-114): Batting atop a lineup that has a .328 batting average against Bradish gives Springer plenty of opportunity to cross the plate. He took care of that task himself on Friday, bopping a go-ahead homer in the fifth inning.
Springer has scored in nine of his past 14 games, with 11 total runs in that span. This is a very reasonable price for the leadoff hitter of an excellent lineup.
Disclaimer This content was produced as part of a partnership and therefore it may not meet the standards of impartial or independent journalism.
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