Partner Content | Why there’s value on a Maple Leafs Stanley Cup futures bet ahead of Game 7

Toronto Maple Leafs fans likely can’t think past Saturday night and that’s totally understandable. Another Game 7 awaits the Maple Leafs in their first-round matchup against the Tampa Bay Lightning.

But for those who like to shop around for value on the futures market, there may not be a better time to consider betting on Toronto to win it all.

Maple Leafs Stanley Cup futures outlook

Game 7

A wager on the Maple Leafs to win the Stanley Cup ahead of Game 7 nets bettors +1,200 odds (at NorthStar Bets), as of Friday night on May 13.

Toronto is a -127 favourite to beat the Lightning on Saturday, which gives them an implied probability of 55.95% to win the series.

Read more: Game 7 Lightning vs. Maple Leafs picks

Of course, Toronto’s history makes Saturday’s game anything but a guarantee. The Maple Leafs have lost four consecutive Game 7s and have been outscored 20-10 in those games. But a win over the Bolts would surely see those +1,200 odds shorten fairly significantly.

Maple Leafs Stanley Cup path

Making a Stanley Cup futures bet requires a little bit of getting ahead of yourself. It’s important to take a look at Toronto’s path to the final even if the Maple Leafs haven’t advanced yet.

If the Buds do take down the Lightning, however, their next opponent would be the winner of the Washington Capitals and Florida Panthers series.

Florida has looked far from perfect in their series despite leading 3-2 going into Game 6 on Friday.

The Panthers have gone 0-for-16 on the power play through the first five games and have received just two goals and eight combined points from superstars Aleksander Barkov and Jonathan Huberdeau.

Goaltending has also been a major question mark, as Sergei Bobrovsky owns a mediocre .902 save percentage.

Read more: How to bet on the Maple Leafs

Maple Leafs Stanley Cup odds vs. other teams

It’s also wise to look around and check out other teams’ odds to win the Cup.

There are five other teams knotted up at 3-3 entering play on May 13. The Lightning (+1300), Carolina Hurricanes (+1400), Edmonton Oilers (+1900), Boston Bruins (+2300) and Los Angeles Kings (+7500) all have longer odds to win it all.

With that being said, it’s fair to point out that Toronto defeating the reigning back-to-back Cup champs would be the most impressive series victory from that bunch.

Stanley Cup verdict

Betting Toronto to win the Stanley Cup at this point requires assuming heightened risk. The Maple Leafs are facing elimination on Saturday, after all.

But the odds you currently see to bet the Buds to win it all won’t be available after Game 7 if they do prevail.

If you think a series win will catapult Toronto to a long playoff run, then now is the time to wager on the Maple Leafs to win the Stanley Cup.


Steven Psihogios writes about sports betting for NorthStar Bets. NorthStar Bets is owned by NordStar Capital, which also owns Torstar, the Star’s parent company. Follow him on Twitter: @StevenPsihogios

Disclaimer This content was produced as part of a partnership and therefore it may not meet the standards of impartial or independent journalism.

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