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Partner Content | Redblacks vs. Tiger-Cats picks and odds: Expect Ottawa to keep things close

The basement dwellers of the CFL’s East Division meet on Friday night in Hamilton.

The pregame narrative: The Redblacks are still technically alive for a playoff spot, but they don’t control their own destiny. The Tiger-Cats have won three of four games and are inching toward a spot in the Eastern semifinal.

Check out our Redblacks vs. Tiger-Cats picks for October 21.

Odds as of 3:43 p.m. on 10/20/2022.

Redblacks vs. Tiger-Cats picks

Best bet: Redblacks +6.5 (-114)

The Redblacks are down, and pretty soon they’ll be out. But this is a line we’re not confident the Ti-Cats can cover.

Hamilton has only been favoured by 6.5 points or more on two occasions this season and both resulted in ATS losses:

  • Week 3: 29-25 (L) vs. Edmonton
  • Week 4: 25-23 (W) vs. Ottawa

Both of those games were months ago, but that speaks to the lack of confidence instilled in Hamilton to cover sizeable spreads. The Ti-Cats have won three of their last four games, but the past two have come by seven total points.

For as rough as Ottawa (4-12) has looked all season, its best football has come away from home. The Redblacks are 6-2 ATS on the road, covering all three spreads of 6.5 points or more. That includes a straight-up win as 6.5-point underdogs in Montreal on Thanksgiving.

Key stat: The Redblacks covered as 8-point underdogs when these teams met in Week 4, and they’ve covered in six of eight road games this season.

Quick picks

Under 49.5 points (-110): These teams combined for 48 points back in July, and they possess two of the worst offences in the CFL. Hamilton is sixth in scoring (23.0 points/game), while Ottawa ranks eighth 21.1 points/game).

The defences have been poor, too, but the Ti-Cats’ unit gets a lift as Redblacks leading receiver Jaelon Acklin (head/shoulder) was ruled out.

Hamilton has scored fewer than 20 points in two of its past three home games.

Ti-Cats ML + under 49.5 points (+163): Although we expect Ottawa to keep this game within a touchdown, Hamilton should still come out on top. The Redblacks are 1-4 in their past five games and their minus-85 point differential ranks last in the East.

Montreal has won five of its past six home games — a stretch that began with a win over Ottawa back in mid-July.

Backing Hamilton at home with the under is a reasonable way to manufacture a plus-money wager for this game.

JH

Jordan Horrobin writes about sports betting for NorthStar Bets. NorthStar Bets is owned by NordStar Capital, which also owns Torstar, the Star’s parent company. Follow him on Twitter: @JordanHorrobin

Disclaimer This content was produced as part of a partnership and therefore it may not meet the standards of impartial or independent journalism.



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