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NFL BAD BEATS BLOG: Underdog Steelers, Saints look to spring upsets

Welcome to Week 6 of the NFL season.

Top matchups include the Baltimore Ravens at the New York Giants, the Buffalo Bills at the Kansas City Chiefs in a possible AFC championship game preview and the undefeated Philadelphia Eagles hosting the Dallas Cowboys in the Sunday night game. The Raiders have a bye.

Refresh this blog throughout the games to track bad beats, movement on the live betting line, halftime bets and more.

UPDATES

12:52 p.m.: FINAL: Falcons 28, 49ers 14. Marcus Mariota threw for two touchdowns and ran for another to help the Falcons earn the outright win as 3½-point underdogs. Atlanta remained unbeaten against the spread. The game stayed under the total of 45½.

12:28 p.m.: Jelani Woods grabs a 10-yard touchdown from Matt Ryan and the Colts have come all the way back to lead 26-21 with 12:47 left in the fourth quarter. The Colts are -260 on the live line (Jaguars +210), total 56½.

12:20 p.m.: “Green Bay has a pulse.” Aaron Rodgers connects with Allen Lazard for a touchdown and the Jets now lead 17-10 with 2:35 left in the third quarter. The Jets are -200 on the live line (Packers +165), total 40½.

12:09 p.m.: The Jets blocked their second kick of the day and return this one for a touchdown. They lead the Packers 17-3 with 5:43 left in the third quarter. The Jets are -550 on the live line (Packers +400), total 35½.

12:04 p.m.: Ja’Marr Chase grabs a 15-yard touchdown reception from Joe Burrow, and the Bengals now trail the Saints 23-21 with 3:30 left in the third quarter. The over (43) is in.

12:00 p.m.: Braxton Berrios scoots in from 20 yards away, and the Jets have a 10-3 lead over the Packers midway through the third quarter. The Jets are -140 on the live line (Packers +110), total 30½.

11:50 a.m.: Bailey Zappe finds Tyquan Thornton for a short touchdown and the Patriots are up 17-6 over the Browns. The Patriots are -400 on the live line (Browns +300), total 42½.

11:39 a.m.: Second-half line: Ravens -1½, total 22½.

11:38 a.m.: Second-half line: Packers -3½, total 20½.

11:37 a.m.: Second-half line: Browns -½, total 21.

11:36 a.m.: Second-half line: Jaguars Pick, total 20.

11:34 a.m.: Second-half line: Bengals -3, total 21.

11:33 a.m.: HALFTIME: Jaguars 14, Colts 13. First-half winners: Jaguars +½, over 20½.

HALFTIME: Patriots 10, Browns 6. First-half winners: Patriots +1, under 20½.

HALFTIME: Ravens 10, Giants 7. First-half winners: Giants +3½, under 22.

HALFTIME: Saints 20, Bengals 14. First-half winners: Saints +1½, over 21.

11:32 a.m.: HALFTIME: Jets 3, Packers 3. First-half winners: Jets +4½, under 22½. The Packers stink.

11:31 a.m.: Second-half line: Dolphins -½, total 21.

11:29 a.m.: HALFTIME: Vikings 10, Dolphins 3. First-half winners: Vikings -2½, under 22½. Irv Smith Jr. caught a 1-yard touchdown pass from Kirk Cousins with 2:32 left in the second quarter for the Vikings cover.

11:27 a.m.: Second-half line: Buccaneers -5, total 21½.

11:25 a.m.: HALFTIME: Steelers 10, Buccaneers 9. First-half winners: Steelers +6, under 23½.

11:23 a.m.: Second-half line: 49ers -4, total 23½.

11:21 a.m.: HALFTIME: Falcons 21, 49ers 14. First-half winners: Falcons +2½, over 22½. Marcus Mariota scored on a 3-yard keeper with 57 seconds left in the second quarter for the money-line win.

11:07 a.m.: The Packers look like Ashwaubenon High School in those uniforms and they’re playing like them, too. The Packers are -180 on the live line (Jets +150), total 31½.

11:04 a.m.: All tied up in the Meadowlands after Wan’Dale Robinson hauls in the short touchdown pass from Daniel Jones. Giants 7, Ravens 7 with 3:31 left in the second quarter. The Ravens are -190 on the live line (Giants +155), total 39½.

10:57 a.m.: Brandon Aiyuk scores his second touchdown and the 49ers erased a 14-point deficit and are tied with the Falcons midway through the second quarter. The 49ers are -150 on the live line (Falcons +120), total 57½.

10:49 a.m.: The Ravens break the seal against the Giants with former Raiders running back Kenyan Drake breaking free for a 30-yard touchdown run with 9:26 left in the second quarter. The Ravens are -380 on the live line (Giants +290), total 36½.

10:46 a.m.: The Packers can’t get out of their own way on offense and are somehow -280 on the live line. Jets are +225 and sure seem like a live ‘dog at this point. The total is 33½, LOL.

10:33 a.m.: The Falcons are wearing their Dirty Birds unis and lead the 49ers 14-0 after a fumble return for a touchdown. After closing as +3½, the Falcons are -250 on the live line (49ers +200), total 50½.

10:28 a.m.: Make that three games are 0-0. The Jaguars got a 1-yard rushing touchdown from quarterback Trevor Lawrence and lead the Colts 7-0 late in the first quarter. The Jaguars are -200 on the live line (Colts +165), total 40½.

10:26 a.m.: Some of these first quarters are flying by. Four of the eight games are tied 0-0.

10:11 a.m.: The Saints are the first team on the board in the morning. Tre’Quan Smith hauled in the 18-yard touchdown pass from Andy Dalton. The Saints are -150 on the live line (Bengals +120), total 46½.

10:02 a.m.: The Packers closed -8.

9:45 a.m.: The total in the Buccaneers-Steelers game keeps climbing. It’s up to 47 now. Other movement:

— Bengals-Saints total from 42½ to 43

— Patriots-Browns total from 43 to 43½

— Jets-Packers total from 45 to 44½

— 49ers from -4 to -3½

9:34 a.m.: The public likes the Bengals, Jaguars and Patriots at FanDuel Sportsbook.

9:28 a.m.: STN Sports outlook: Betting Trends

9:25 a.m.: From @CaesarsSports, a bettor from Arizona made two $110,000 bets for today:

Panthers +10 (-110)

Vikings-Dolphins U46 (-110)

9:15 a.m.: Insights from BetMGM for today’s NFL games:

Most bet games (tickets)

– 49ers-Falcons

– Vikings-Dolphins

– Panthers-Rams

Most bet teams (tickets)

– Panthers +10

– Vikings -3

– 49ers -4½

Most bet teams (handle)

– Panthers +10

– Dolphins +3

– Vikings -3

8:47 a.m.: Notable line movement this morning:

Buccaneers-Steelers total from 46 to 46½

Dolphins from +140 to +150 ML

8:45 a.m.: Here is this morning’s schedule of games:

— Buccaneers (-9½, 46½, -450) at Steelers (+375), 10 a.m.

— Bengals (-3, 42½, -165) at Saints (+145), 10 a.m.

— Jaguars (+105) at Colts (-1½, 41, -125), 10 a.m.

— Patriots (+130) at Browns (-2½, 43, -150), 10 a.m.

— Jets (+300) at Packers (-7½, 45, -360), 10 a.m.

— Ravens (-5½, 45½, -250) at Giants (+210), 10 a.m.

— Vikings (-3, 45, -170) at Dolphins (+150), 10 a.m.

— 49ers (-4, 45½, -200) at Falcons (+175), 10 a.m.

Contact David Schoen at [email protected] or 702-387-5203. Follow @DavidSchoenLVRJ on Twitter.



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