NFL BAD BEATS BLOG: Seahawks, Panthers cover 1st half
Welcome to Week 6 of the NFL season.
Top matchups include the Baltimore Ravens at the New York Giants, the Buffalo Bills at the Kansas City Chiefs in a possible AFC championship game preview and the undefeated Philadelphia Eagles hosting the Dallas Cowboys in the Sunday night game. The Raiders have a bye.
Refresh this blog throughout the games to track bad beats, movement on the live betting line, halftime bets and more.
UPDATES
2:28 p.m.: Second-half line: Cardinals -2½, total 24.
2:27 p.m.: Second-half line: Rams -6, total 20.
2:25 p.m.: HALFTIME: Seahawks 9, Cardinals 3. First-half winners: Seahawks +½, under 24½. The teams combined for four field goals in an NFC West pillow fight.
2:23 p.m.: HALFTIME: Panthers 10, Rams 7. First-half winners: Panthers +6, under 20½. Donte Jackson had a 30-yard interception return for a touchdown with 1:58 left in the second quarter to cash the Panthers money line.
2:10 p.m.: Patrick Mahomes keeps the play alive and finds JuJu Smith-Schuster, who spins off three tacklers and sprints away for the touchdown. The Chiefs lead the Bills 7-3 with 11:31 left in the second quarter. The Chiefs are -125 on the live line (Bills -105), total 48.½
1:55 p.m.: Bills 0, Chiefs 0 at the end of the first quarter. Over bettors, how we feeling? The Bills are -200 on the live line (Chiefs +165), total 44½.
1:48 p.m.: Patrick Mahomes flings one into the end zone and it’s intercepted. The Bills and Chiefs remained tied 0-0. The Bills are -145 on the live line (Chiefs +115), total 44½.
1:45 p.m.: Still no touchdowns in the afternoon games.
1:33 p.m.: The Rams offense is sputtering, and they trail the Panthers 3-0 at the end of the first quarter. The Rams are -300 on the live line (Panthers +240), total 34½.
1:24 p.m.: FINAL: Patriots 38, Browns 15. Rhamondre Stevenson of Las Vegas ran for two scores, and the Patriots rolled as 2½-point underdogs. The game flew over the total of 43½ after being 10-6 at halftime.
1:11 p.m.: FINAL: Colts 34, Jaguars 27. Alec Pierce scored on a 32-yard reception with 17 seconds remaining in the fourth quarter to lift the Colts, who were 1½-point favorites. The game went over the total of 41.
FINAL: Vikings 24, Dolphins 16. Kirk Cousins threw two touchdowns and the Vikings covered as 3-point road favorites. The game stayed under the total of 45.
1:09 p.m.: FINAL: Steelers 20, Buccaneers 18. Chase Claypool caught a touchdown with 9:55 remaining, and the Steelers stopped a two-point conversion with 4:38 left to pull the upset as 9½-point underdogs. The game stayed under the total of 46½.
1:06 p.m.: FINAL: Jets 27, Packers 10. The Packers looked sluggish after playing in London a week ago, and the Jets dominated on special teams to win outright as 8-point favorites. The game stayed under the total of 44½.
1:04 p.m.: FINAL: Giants 24, Ravens 20. The Giants intercepted Lamar Jackson late, and Saquon Barkley scored with 1:43 left in the fourth quarter to secure the outright win as 5½-point underdogs. The Giants had the ball inside the 5-yard line late but took a knee and the game stayed under the total of 45½.
12:59 p.m.: FINAL: Bengals 30, Saints 26. Ja’Marr Chase scored the go-ahead touchdown on a 60-yard pass from Joe Burrow with 1:57 left, and the Bengals covered as 3-point favorites. The game went over the total of 43.
12:52 p.m.: FINAL: Falcons 28, 49ers 14. Marcus Mariota threw for two touchdowns and ran for another to help the Falcons earn the outright win as 3½-point underdogs. Atlanta remained unbeaten against the spread. The game stayed under the total of 45½.
12:28 p.m.: Jelani Woods grabs a 10-yard touchdown from Matt Ryan and the Colts have come all the way back to lead 26-21 with 12:47 left in the fourth quarter. The Colts are -260 on the live line (Jaguars +210), total 56½.
12:20 p.m.: “Green Bay has a pulse.” Aaron Rodgers connects with Allen Lazard for a touchdown and the Jets now lead 17-10 with 2:35 left in the third quarter. The Jets are -200 on the live line (Packers +165), total 40½.
12:09 p.m.: The Jets blocked their second kick of the day and return this one for a touchdown. They lead the Packers 17-3 with 5:43 left in the third quarter. The Jets are -550 on the live line (Packers +400), total 35½.
12:04 p.m.: Ja’Marr Chase grabs a 15-yard touchdown reception from Joe Burrow, and the Bengals now trail the Saints 23-21 with 3:30 left in the third quarter. The over (43) is in.
12:00 p.m.: Braxton Berrios scoots in from 20 yards away, and the Jets have a 10-3 lead over the Packers midway through the third quarter. The Jets are -140 on the live line (Packers +110), total 30½.
11:50 a.m.: Bailey Zappe finds Tyquan Thornton for a short touchdown and the Patriots are up 17-6 over the Browns. The Patriots are -400 on the live line (Browns +300), total 42½.
11:39 a.m.: Second-half line: Ravens -1½, total 22½.
11:38 a.m.: Second-half line: Packers -3½, total 20½.
11:37 a.m.: Second-half line: Browns -½, total 21.
11:36 a.m.: Second-half line: Jaguars Pick, total 20.
11:34 a.m.: Second-half line: Bengals -3, total 21.
11:33 a.m.: HALFTIME: Jaguars 14, Colts 13. First-half winners: Jaguars +½, over 20½.
HALFTIME: Patriots 10, Browns 6. First-half winners: Patriots +1, under 20½.
HALFTIME: Ravens 10, Giants 7. First-half winners: Giants +3½, under 22.
HALFTIME: Saints 20, Bengals 14. First-half winners: Saints +1½, over 21.
11:32 a.m.: HALFTIME: Jets 3, Packers 3. First-half winners: Jets +4½, under 22½. The Packers stink.
11:31 a.m.: Second-half line: Dolphins -½, total 21.
11:29 a.m.: HALFTIME: Vikings 10, Dolphins 3. First-half winners: Vikings -2½, under 22½. Irv Smith Jr. caught a 1-yard touchdown pass from Kirk Cousins with 2:32 left in the second quarter for the Vikings cover.
11:27 a.m.: Second-half line: Buccaneers -5, total 21½.
11:25 a.m.: HALFTIME: Steelers 10, Buccaneers 9. First-half winners: Steelers +6, under 23½.
11:23 a.m.: Second-half line: 49ers -4, total 23½.
11:21 a.m.: HALFTIME: Falcons 21, 49ers 14. First-half winners: Falcons +2½, over 22½. Marcus Mariota scored on a 3-yard keeper with 57 seconds left in the second quarter for the money-line win.
11:07 a.m.: The Packers look like Ashwaubenon High School in those uniforms and they’re playing like them, too. The Packers are -180 on the live line (Jets +150), total 31½.
11:04 a.m.: All tied up in the Meadowlands after Wan’Dale Robinson hauls in the short touchdown pass from Daniel Jones. Giants 7, Ravens 7 with 3:31 left in the second quarter. The Ravens are -190 on the live line (Giants +155), total 39½.
10:57 a.m.: Brandon Aiyuk scores his second touchdown and the 49ers erased a 14-point deficit and are tied with the Falcons midway through the second quarter. The 49ers are -150 on the live line (Falcons +120), total 57½.
10:49 a.m.: The Ravens break the seal against the Giants with former Raiders running back Kenyan Drake breaking free for a 30-yard touchdown run with 9:26 left in the second quarter. The Ravens are -380 on the live line (Giants +290), total 36½.
10:46 a.m.: The Packers can’t get out of their own way on offense and are somehow -280 on the live line. Jets are +225 and sure seem like a live ‘dog at this point. The total is 33½, LOL.
10:33 a.m.: The Falcons are wearing their Dirty Birds unis and lead the 49ers 14-0 after a fumble return for a touchdown. After closing as +3½, the Falcons are -250 on the live line (49ers +200), total 50½.
10:28 a.m.: Make that three games are 0-0. The Jaguars got a 1-yard rushing touchdown from quarterback Trevor Lawrence and lead the Colts 7-0 late in the first quarter. The Jaguars are -200 on the live line (Colts +165), total 40½.
10:26 a.m.: Some of these first quarters are flying by. Four of the eight games are tied 0-0.
10:11 a.m.: The Saints are the first team on the board in the morning. Tre’Quan Smith hauled in the 18-yard touchdown pass from Andy Dalton. The Saints are -150 on the live line (Bengals +120), total 46½.
10:02 a.m.: The Packers closed -8.
9:45 a.m.: The total in the Buccaneers-Steelers game keeps climbing. It’s up to 47 now. Other movement:
— Bengals-Saints total from 42½ to 43
— Patriots-Browns total from 43 to 43½
— Jets-Packers total from 45 to 44½
— 49ers from -4 to -3½
9:34 a.m.: The public likes the Bengals, Jaguars and Patriots at FanDuel Sportsbook.
⚠️ 𝗣𝗨𝗕𝗟𝗜𝗖 𝗕𝗘𝗧𝗧𝗜𝗡𝗚 𝗔𝗟𝗘𝗥𝗧 ⚠️
• 81% of spread bets on Bengals
• 77% of ML bets on Jaguars
• 77% of ML bets on Patriots pic.twitter.com/F3HdsPaeah— FanDuel Sportsbook (@FDSportsbook) October 16, 2022
9:28 a.m.: STN Sports outlook: Betting Trends
STN Sports Sunday Outlook: Betting Trends 📈
Bucs -points: 77.1%
Under: 57.2%
Bucs ML: 87.0%Bengals -points: 70.1%
Over: 78.6%
Bengals ML: 64.6%Colts -points: 50.4%
Under: 52.9%
Jaguars: ML 66.9%Patriots +points: 53.6%
Over: 64.4%
Patriots ML: 61.2%— Steven Money, baby. (@STNSportsApp) October 16, 2022
9:25 a.m.: From @CaesarsSports, a bettor from Arizona made two $110,000 bets for today:
Panthers +10 (-110)
Vikings-Dolphins U46 (-110)
The most bet on player prop by tickets?
Daniel Jones OVER 35.5 rushing yards 💨 pic.twitter.com/LC7s5C17Ns
— Caesars Sportsbook (@CaesarsSports) October 16, 2022
9:15 a.m.: Insights from BetMGM for today’s NFL games:
Most bet games (tickets)
– 49ers-Falcons
– Vikings-Dolphins
– Panthers-Rams
Most bet teams (tickets)
– Panthers +10
– Vikings -3
– 49ers -4½
Most bet teams (handle)
– Panthers +10
– Dolphins +3
– Vikings -3
Insights for today’s NFL slate 💡
Most bet games (tickets)
– 49ers-Falcons
– Vikings-Dolphins
– Panthers-RamsMost bet teams (tickets)
– Panthers +10
– Vikings -3
– 49ers -4.5Most bet teams (handle)
– Panthers +10
– Dolphins +3
– Vikings -3— BetMGM 🦁 (@BetMGM) October 16, 2022
Public teams (+60% of bets) NFL Week 6 at @BetMGM
71% on Panthers +10
69% on Bengals -3
67% on Chargers -4.5
62% on Jets +7.5
62% on Vikings -3— John Ewing 🦁 (@johnewing) October 16, 2022
8:47 a.m.: Notable line movement this morning:
Buccaneers-Steelers total from 46 to 46½
Dolphins from +140 to +150 ML
8:45 a.m.: Here is this morning’s schedule of games:
— Buccaneers (-9½, 46½, -450) at Steelers (+375), 10 a.m.
— Bengals (-3, 42½, -165) at Saints (+145), 10 a.m.
— Jaguars (+105) at Colts (-1½, 41, -125), 10 a.m.
— Patriots (+130) at Browns (-2½, 43, -150), 10 a.m.
— Jets (+300) at Packers (-7½, 45, -360), 10 a.m.
— Ravens (-5½, 45½, -250) at Giants (+210), 10 a.m.
— Vikings (-3, 45, -170) at Dolphins (+150), 10 a.m.
— 49ers (-4, 45½, -200) at Falcons (+175), 10 a.m.
Contact David Schoen at [email protected] or 702-387-5203. Follow @DavidSchoenLVRJ on Twitter.
